Arkansas
W-L: ( 2-10) PR = 78.0635Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Alabama A&M 52- 7 906 H Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 56-14 913 A Ole Miss SEC (13- 2, 89.5) 35-41 920 A Memphis AME ( 8- 5, 77.7) 31-32 927 H Notre Dame IND (10- 2, 94.1) 13-56 1011 A Tennessee SEC ( 8- 5, 83.7) 31-34 1018 H Texas A&M SEC (11- 1, 90.4) 42-45 1025 H Auburn SEC ( 5- 7, 82.3) 24-33 1101 H Miss St SEC ( 5- 8, 76.8) 35-38 1115 A LSU SEC ( 7- 6, 82.8) 22-23 1122 A Texas SEC (10- 3, 89.8) 37-52 1129 H Missouri SEC ( 8- 5, 84.0) 17-31
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 H Arkansas State 56-14 42 13 0.59
913 A Ole Miss 35-41 -6 -17 +++ 8.00
920 A Memphis 31-32 -1 -5 + 3.89
927 H Notre Dame 13-56 -43 -11 - -3.24
1011 A Tennessee 31-34 -3 -11 +++ 7.87
1018 H Texas A&M 42-45 -3 -7 ++ 4.12
1025 H Auburn 24-33 -9 1 --- -10.05
1101 H Miss St 35-38 -3 7 --- -9.52
1115 A LSU 22-23 -1 -10 +++ 8.96
1122 A Texas 37-52 -15 -17 0.00
1129 H Missouri 17-31 -14 -1 --- -13.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 H Auburn 24-33 -9 1 --- -10.05 1101 H Miss St 35-38 -3 7 --- -9.52 1129 H Missouri 17-31 -14 -1 --- -13.33 927 H Notre Dame 13-56 -43 -11 - -3.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A Ole Miss 35-41 -6 -17 +++ 8.00 1011 A Tennessee 31-34 -3 -11 +++ 7.87 1115 A LSU 22-23 -1 -10 +++ 8.96 1018 H Texas A&M 42-45 -3 -7 ++ 4.12 920 A Memphis 31-32 -1 -5 + 3.89 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Arkansas State ( 7- 6, 69.9) 56-14 -29.99 21.23 -5.26 1.16 37.03
3 A Ole Miss (13- 2, 89.5) 35-41 -10.39 40.82 5.26 1.16 -2.98
3 A Memphis ( 8- 5, 77.7) 31-32 -22.20 29.02 5.26 1.16 -9.82
3 H Notre Dame (10- 2, 94.1) 13-56 -5.82 45.40 -5.26 1.16 -6.42
3 A Tennessee ( 8- 5, 83.7) 31-34 -16.22 35.00 5.26 1.16 -6.35
3 H Texas A&M (11- 1, 90.4) 42-45 -9.45 41.77 -5.26 1.16 -8.53
3 H Auburn ( 5- 7, 82.3) 24-33 -17.63 33.59 -5.26 1.16 -13.27
3 H Miss St ( 5- 8, 76.8) 35-38 -23.10 28.12 -5.26 1.16 -16.44
3 A LSU ( 7- 6, 82.8) 22-23 -17.13 34.09 5.26 1.16 -6.88
3 A Texas (10- 3, 89.8) 37-52 -10.13 41.09 5.26 1.16 -2.82
3 H Missouri ( 8- 5, 84.0) 17-31 -15.90 35.32 -5.26 1.16 -12.26
------
-48.74
|
winning pts = 37.0277 losing points = -85.7685
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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